Understanding Business Cycles
50 questions available
Key Points
- Business cycles occur in business enterprise economies, not agrarian ones.
- Cycles last from over a year to 10-12 years.
- Classical Cycle: Level of economic activity (Real GDP).
- Growth Cycle: Activity relative to trend growth.
- Growth Rate Cycle: Growth rate of activity.
Key Points
- Recovery: Negative gap narrows, moderate inflation.
- Expansion: Positive gap opens, hiring increases.
- Slowdown: Peak activity, inflation accelerates.
- Contraction: Recession, unemployment rises, safe assets preferred.
Key Points
- Recovery: Risky assets perform well.
- Contraction: Investors prefer safe assets (government bonds).
- Credit cycles are longer than business cycles.
- Financial frictions amplify business cycle fluctuations.
Key Points
- Leading: Stock market, average weekly hours, building permits.
- Coincident: Industrial production, personal income.
- Lagging: Inflation, unemployment duration, inventory-to-sales ratio.
- Diffusion Index measures the breadth of economic changes.
Questions
Which of the following best describes the periodicity of business cycles?
View answer and explanationBusiness cycles are most typical of which type of economy?
View answer and explanationWhat is the typical duration of a business cycle as mentioned in the text?
View answer and explanationWhich type of cycle refers to fluctuations in the level of economic activity, such as GDP in volume terms?
View answer and explanationIn the context of the Growth Cycle, what does it measure economic activity against?
View answer and explanationWhat is a key advantage of the Growth Rate Cycle approach?
View answer and explanationCompared to the Classical view, when are peaks generally reached in a Growth Cycle?
View answer and explanationWhich phase of the business cycle is characterized by the negative output gap starting to narrow?
View answer and explanationDuring the Recovery phase, how do businesses typically handle labor needs?
View answer and explanationWhat happens to the output gap during the Expansion phase?
View answer and explanationHow is inflation described during the Slowdown phase?
View answer and explanationDuring which phase does the unemployment rate start to rise?
View answer and explanationWhat is the behavior of inflation during the Contraction phase?
View answer and explanationA common definition of a recession mentioned in the text is:
View answer and explanationIn the Recovery phase, how do asset markets behave?
View answer and explanationDuring the Expansion phase (Boom), what might the central bank do?
View answer and explanationWhat happens to the yields of safe assets like government bonds during the Slowdown phase?
View answer and explanationDuring the Contraction phase, investors prefer which type of assets?
View answer and explanationHow does the duration of credit cycles generally compare to business cycles?
View answer and explanationWhat is the impact of financial frictions on business cycles?
View answer and explanationRecessions accompanied by financial disruptions tend to be:
View answer and explanationIn the context of economic indicators, how is capital spending described during the Recovery phase?
View answer and explanationWhat happens to the Inventory to Sales Ratio during the Slowdown phase?
View answer and explanationWhich of the following is considered a 'Leading' economic indicator?
View answer and explanationWhich of the following is considered a 'Coincident' economic indicator?
View answer and explanationWhich of the following is considered a 'Lagging' economic indicator?
View answer and explanationWhat does a Diffusion Index primarily measure?
View answer and explanationA high value in the Diffusion Index indicates:
View answer and explanationBuilding permits are classified as which type of indicator?
View answer and explanationReal personal income is classified as which type of indicator?
View answer and explanationThe ratio of consumer instalment debt to income is classified as:
View answer and explanationDuring the Expansion phase, how is the activity level described?
View answer and explanationIn the Slowdown phase, what happens to activity measures?
View answer and explanationDuring which phase do businesses typically first cut hours and eliminate overtime?
View answer and explanationWhat is the behavior of the unemployment rate during the Slowdown phase?
View answer and explanationWhich phase is described as the 'Boom' phase?
View answer and explanationIn the 'Classical Cycle' definition, recessions are marked by:
View answer and explanationWhich cycle definition is closest to how mainstream economists think about business cycles?
View answer and explanationWhich phase comes immediately after a 'Peak' in the business cycle?
View answer and explanationWhich phase comes immediately after a 'Trough'?
View answer and explanationIn the Contraction phase, companies with steady positive cash flows are:
View answer and explanationWhich phase is characterized by 'Inflation picks up modestly'?
View answer and explanationWhat does the Inventory-to-Sales ratio typically do in the Contraction phase?
View answer and explanationChange in unit labor costs is an example of a:
View answer and explanationInterest spread (between Long Term and Short Term rates) is a:
View answer and explanationIn the 'Growth Cycle' definition, what happens to the peaks compared to the Classical view?
View answer and explanationWhich phase involves 'Positive output gap starts to narrow'?
View answer and explanationWhat serves as a 'leading indicator of the economy' during the Recovery Phase?
View answer and explanationIn which phase do sales decline slow down?
View answer and explanationThe Average prime lending rate is a:
View answer and explanation