Reading 26: Applications of Financial Statement Analysis

50 questions available

Forecasting Financial Performance5 min
Forecasting begins with understanding a company's past strategy and performance. Differences in gross margins and operating expenses often reflect strategic choices, such as a premium differentiation strategy (high margins, high R&D) versus a cost leadership strategy (lower margins, high volume). For future projections, analysts typically use a top-down approach: forecasting GDP growth, deriving industry growth, and applying market share assumptions to project firm sales. Simple models assume expenses and working capital remain a constant percentage of sales, while complex models separate fixed and variable components. Cash flow forecasts must account for necessary capital expenditures and working capital investments to support the projected growth, which may reveal a need for additional debt or equity financing.

Key Points

  • Premium strategies typically show higher gross margins and higher R&D/advertising costs.
  • Top-down forecasting moves from Macroeconomy -> Industry -> Firm.
  • Simple forecasting models often assume COGS and working capital are constant percentages of sales.
  • Projected cash needs may require adjustments to future debt and interest expense.
Credit and Equity Analysis5 min
Credit analysis evaluates the risk of default. The 'Three Cs' framework includes Character (management reputation), Collateral (pledged assets), and Capacity (financial ability to repay). Credit rating agencies weigh factors like scale and diversification (larger is generally safer), operational efficiency (margins), margin stability, and leverage (debt-to-EBITDA). Equity analysis involves screening a universe of stocks to find investment candidates. For example, value investors might screen for low price-to-earnings ratios. Analysts must validate screens using backtesting but must avoid biases: survivorship bias (excluding failed firms), data-mining bias (finding random correlations), and look-ahead bias (using data not available at the time).

Key Points

  • The 'Cs' of credit: Character, Collateral, Capacity.
  • Credit rating factors: Scale, Efficiency, Stability, Leverage.
  • Screening helps identify potential investments based on ratios (e.g., low P/E for value).
  • Backtesting biases: Survivorship, Data-mining, Look-ahead.
Analyst Adjustments5 min
To compare companies effectively, analysts often adjust financial statements to standardize accounting choices. For inventory, LIFO firms (U.S. GAAP) are adjusted to FIFO equivalents by adding the LIFO reserve to inventory and subtracting the change in LIFO reserve from COGS. For depreciation, analysts compare useful lives and salvage values; formulas like 'Average Age' (Accumulated Depreciation / Depreciation Expense) help assess if a firm's fleet is aging. Goodwill arising from acquisitions is often removed to analyze tangible book value. Additionally, off-balance sheet items like operating leases (prior to recent standard changes) or specific classification differences in cash flows (interest/dividends under IFRS) may require adjustments.

Key Points

  • Adjust LIFO Inventory to FIFO: Reported Inventory + LIFO Reserve.
  • Adjust LIFO COGS to FIFO: Reported COGS - Change in LIFO Reserve.
  • Average Age of Assets = Accumulated Depreciation / Depreciation Expense.
  • Goodwill is often removed for ratio analysis to focus on tangible assets.

Questions

Question 1

Which of the following characteristics is most likely to be observed in the financial statements of a company pursuing a premium differentiation strategy?

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Question 2

When forecasting a company's future sales using a top-down approach, an analyst would typically begin with:

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Question 3

In a simple forecasting model, which of the following items is most commonly estimated as a constant percentage of sales?

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Question 4

If a forecasting model projects a significant increase in sales that requires external financing, the analyst must ensure consistent adjustment of:

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Question 5

Which of the 'Three Cs' of credit analysis refers to the firm management's professional reputation and history of debt repayment?

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Question 6

In credit rating formulas, how is the factor 'Scale and Diversification' generally viewed?

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Question 7

Which of the following ratios is most central to the 'Leverage' category in credit analysis?

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Question 8

Using a specific set of criteria to screen historical data to determine how portfolios would have performed is known as:

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Question 9

Survivorship bias in backtesting equity screens most likely results in:

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Question 10

Unrealized gains on 'held-for-trading' securities are recorded in:

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Question 11

An analyst comparing a US GAAP firm using LIFO to an IFRS firm using FIFO should adjust the LIFO firm's inventory by:

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Question 12

To adjust a LIFO firm's Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) to a FIFO basis during a period of rising prices, the analyst should:

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Question 13

Company A reports LIFO COGS of $5,000. The LIFO reserve was $200 at the beginning of the year and $300 at the end of the year. What is the estimated FIFO COGS?

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Question 14

A firm using straight-line depreciation compared to an otherwise identical firm using accelerated depreciation will typically report:

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Question 15

Which formula provides an estimate of the average age of a firm's assets?

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Question 16

A company reports Gross PPE of $1,000, Accumulated Depreciation of $400, and Depreciation Expense of $50. What is the estimated average remaining useful life of the assets?

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Question 17

When a company grows through acquisition, goodwill is recognized on the balance sheet as:

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Question 18

To calculate a price-to-book value ratio that is comparable between a firm that grew organically and one that grew by acquisition, an analyst should:

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Question 19

An analyst performing a stock screen filters for companies with a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio less than 12. This screen is most likely to exclude:

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Question 20

Which of the following biases refers to finding a relationship in historical data that does not actually exist, often due to testing too many variables?

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Question 21

When forecasting sales for a firm with increasing market share, the analyst should:

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Question 22

Which of the following best describes the treatment of upward revaluation of fixed assets?

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Question 23

If a firm capitalizes an expense that should have been expensed immediately, what is the effect on cash flow from operations (CFO) in the current period?

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Question 24

When analyzing solvency, analysts should estimate the present value of operating lease obligations (under older standards or for adjustment purposes) and:

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Question 25

A screen for high dividend yield is most likely to identify which type of company?

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Question 26

Which inventory valuation method results in a balance sheet inventory value that is closer to current replacement cost?

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Question 27

For credit analysis, 'Margin Stability' is important because:

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Question 28

Which of the following is considered a 'momentum' indicator in equity screening?

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Question 29

When comparing two firms, if Firm A has a significantly higher Average Age of Assets than Firm B, it most likely indicates that Firm A:

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Question 30

Which of the following creates a deferred tax liability?

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Question 31

What is the primary reason an analyst removes goodwill from the balance sheet when calculating financial ratios?

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Question 32

If a company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.2, this is classified as a measure of:

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Question 33

In forecasting, if an analyst expects the firm's market share to decrease, the projected sales for the firm will:

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Question 34

Which of the following is a limitation of using a Price-to-Cash Flow ratio in a stock screen?

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Question 35

An analyst calculates the 'Average Useful Life' of a firm's assets as 15 years. If the 'Average Age' is calculated as 12 years, this suggests:

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Question 36

Look-ahead bias occurs when:

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Question 37

When adjusting for an acquisition, any income statement expense from the impairment of goodwill in the current period should be:

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Question 38

Which of the following is typically treated as a 'non-cash' item in a simple cash flow projection model?

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Question 39

If a company's noncash working capital as a percentage of sales increases significantly in a forecast, it implies:

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Question 40

A credit analyst observes that a firm has high 'Operational Efficiency'. This is most likely indicated by:

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Question 41

Company X has LIFO Inventory of $100 and a LIFO Reserve of $20. Company Y has FIFO Inventory of $120. Assuming the firms are otherwise identical, which statement is true regarding their inventory values?

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Question 42

When comparing a company that acquires R&D services (expensed) versus one that develops internally (also expensed), financial statement adjustments are:

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Question 43

Which of the following is a 'Scale' factor in credit analysis?

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Question 44

In the context of equity screening, a 'Value' investor is most likely to look for:

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Question 45

Company Z reports Accumulated Depreciation of $500 and Depreciation Expense of $50. The estimated average age of assets is:

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Question 46

If a company uses aggressive estimates for salvage values (setting them higher), what is the effect on the depreciation expense compared to conservative estimates?

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Question 47

Which of the following describes the 'LIFO Liquidation' effect?

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Question 48

When forecasting, an analyst assumes that 'Noncash working capital' will remain at 20% of sales. If sales are projected to be $1,000, what is the projected noncash working capital?

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Question 49

Under IFRS, if a firm classifies interest paid as a Cash Flow from Financing (CFF) outflow, while a comparable firm classifies it as Cash Flow from Operations (CFO), the analyst should:

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Question 50

An analyst estimates that a company has $100 million in operating lease commitments (present value). To adjust the debt-to-equity ratio, the analyst should:

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