Reading 44: Fundamentals of Credit Analysis
50 questions available
Key Points
- Credit Risk = Default Risk × Loss Severity.
- Recovery Rate = 1 − Loss Severity.
- Spread Risk includes Credit Migration Risk and Market Liquidity Risk.
- Seniority Ranking: Secured > Senior Unsecured > Subordinated > Junior Subordinated.
- Absolute priority rule is the theoretical order of payment in bankruptcy.
Key Points
- Investment Grade: BBB-/Baa3 or higher.
- High Yield: BB+/Ba1 or lower.
- Notching accounts for seniority and structural subordination.
- Four Cs: Capacity, Collateral, Covenants, Character.
- Negative covenants restrict issuer actions (e.g., limits on debt).
Key Points
- EBITDA and FFO are key cash flow proxies.
- Leverage Ratios: Debt/Capital, Debt/EBITDA.
- Coverage Ratios: EBIT/Interest, EBITDA/Interest.
- Credit spreads widen during economic weakness and narrow during expansion.
- Broker-dealer capital availability affects market liquidity and spreads.
Key Points
- High yield focus: Liquidity, specific covenants, debt structure.
- Top-heavy capital structures have high secured bank debt.
- Sovereign ratings distinguish between local and foreign currency debt.
- Municipal GO bonds are backed by full faith and credit (taxes).
- Municipal Revenue bonds rely on project cash flows.
Questions
Credit risk is best described as being composed of which two components?
View answer and explanationIf a bond has a default probability of 2 percent and an expected recovery rate of 60 percent, the expected loss is closest to:
View answer and explanationThe risk that a bond's price will decline due to a widening of its yield spread relative to a benchmark is best classified as:
View answer and explanationWhich of the following rankings of debt seniority is correct, from highest priority to lowest priority?
View answer and explanationIn the event of a bankruptcy, the principle that senior creditors must be paid in full before junior creditors receive anything is known as:
View answer and explanationWhich of the following statements regarding recovery rates is most accurate?
View answer and explanationThe practice by rating agencies of assigning different ratings to bonds of the same issuer is best referred to as:
View answer and explanationAn issuer credit rating usually applies to the issuer's:
View answer and explanationWhich of the following ratings would indicate a bond is 'investment grade'?
View answer and explanationStructural subordination is most relevant when analyzing the debt of:
View answer and explanationWhich of the 'Four Cs' of credit analysis focuses on the borrower's ability to generate cash flow to service debt?
View answer and explanationIn the context of the 'Four Cs', which of the following is considered a negative covenant?
View answer and explanationWhen assessing 'Character' in credit analysis, an analyst would most likely evaluate:
View answer and explanationWhich of the following financial measures is calculated as Operating Income plus Depreciation and Amortization?
View answer and explanationFunds from operations (FFO) is best described as:
View answer and explanationWhich of the following ratios is a 'coverage' ratio?
View answer and explanationA lower value for which of the following ratios indicates lower credit risk?
View answer and explanationCompany A has Total Debt of $500 million, Shareholders' Equity of $500 million, and EBITDA of $100 million. What is its Debt/Capital ratio?
View answer and explanationDuring which phase of the credit cycle do credit spreads typically narrow?
View answer and explanationYield spreads on corporate bonds are least likely to be affected by:
View answer and explanationHigh yield bonds are often referred to as:
View answer and explanationFor a high yield issuer, which of the following sources of liquidity is considered the most reliable?
View answer and explanationA 'change of control put' covenant in a high yield bond indenture allows bondholders to:
View answer and explanationIn a holding company structure, 'structural subordination' means that:
View answer and explanationWhich of the following is considered a 'top-heavy' capital structure?
View answer and explanationSovereign debt credit analysis assesses a government's willingness to pay because:
View answer and explanationWhen rating sovereign debt, credit rating agencies typically assign:
View answer and explanationGeneral obligation (GO) municipal bonds are backed by:
View answer and explanationRevenue bonds typically generally have higher yields than General Obligation bonds because:
View answer and explanationWhich of the following is NOT one of the five key areas for evaluating sovereign debt?
View answer and explanationEnterprise Value (EV) is calculated as:
View answer and explanationA limitation of relying solely on credit ratings is that:
View answer and explanationGenerally, for two bonds with equal duration, the one with a lower seniority ranking will exhibit:
View answer and explanationWhich of the following would be an example of an 'affirmative covenant'?
View answer and explanationIf a company has a 'restricted subsidiary', this means:
View answer and explanationRegarding yield spreads, 'flight to quality' refers to:
View answer and explanationA bond trading at a spread of +400 basis points over the benchmark Treasury having a yield of 3.0% would have a yield of:
View answer and explanationWhich factor would most likely cause credit spreads to narrow?
View answer and explanationWhich ratio measures the amount of debt in the capital structure relative to the company's equity market capitalization?
View answer and explanationThe ratio 'EBIT / Interest Expense' is also known as:
View answer and explanationIn credit analysis, 'goodwill' is typically:
View answer and explanationA 'maintenance margin' requirement is relevant to futures, but in credit analysis, a covenant requiring a minimum Interest Coverage ratio is an example of:
View answer and explanationSecured debt backed by a pledge of specific assets is often referred to as:
View answer and explanationWhen calculating the 'Free cash flow after dividends' leverage ratio, a value greater than zero implies:
View answer and explanationMunicipal revenue bonds often have higher credit risk than GO bonds because:
View answer and explanationWhich of the following is an example of an 'institutional assessment' factor in sovereign credit analysis?
View answer and explanationIf a corporate bond portfolio manager wants to estimate the percentage change in value for a given change in yield spread, they should use:
View answer and explanationCredit migration risk is also known as:
View answer and explanationWhich of the following would be an equity-like approach to high yield analysis?
View answer and explanationThe 'Two Cs' of sovereign credit analysis that are NOT part of the corporate 'Four Cs' might be best mapped to which sovereign categories?
View answer and explanation