Learning Module 5 Fixed-Income Markets for Government Issuers

50 questions available

Overview and Sovereign Issuers5 min
This chapter examines public sector fixed-income issuance and markets. Sovereign issuers are distinguished by their legal right to tax and generally represent the lowest default risk for domestic-currency securities. Sovereign debt instruments include short-term Treasury bills (discount instruments), medium- and long-term notes and bonds (fixed, floating, inflation-linked, or foreign-currency), and government-backed securities. Sovereign debt management choices address both the level of debt (fiscal policy) and the composition of debt across maturities (debt management), balancing cost and rollover risk. The Ricardian equivalence concept suggests theoretical indifference to maturity choice under strict assumptions but, in practice, governments diversify maturities to reduce rollover and interest-rate risk. Developed-market sovereigns typically issue highly liquid benchmark securities across maturities; emerging-market sovereigns may issue domestic-currency debt (often held locally) and external debt in foreign currencies, creating direct currency and repayment risks for foreign investors. Non-sovereign and sub-sovereign issuers include provinces, municipalities, and local authorities; they issue general obligation bonds (backed by local tax revenues) and revenue bonds (repaid from project-specific user fees). Government agencies (quasi-government entities) and supranational organizations issue debt to finance designated projects or to provide development financing; they often have high credit quality derived from sovereign support but typically do not capture the full sovereign liquidity premium. Sovereign debt issuance commonly proceeds via scheduled public auctions managed by a treasury or finance ministry; primary dealers are designated intermediaries required to participate in auctions and to support market liquidity. Auction formats include single-price (uniform-price) and multiple-price auctions, with single-price auctions often reducing yield volatility and encouraging broader distribution. Once issued, government securities trade mainly in OTC markets via broker/dealers (some markets use exchanges). On-the-run securities (most recently issued) are the most liquid and serve as benchmarks; off-the-run are older and less liquid. Government securities are widely used as collateral in repo and derivatives markets and as central-bank operational tools. The chapter highlights differences in public-sector accounting (often cash-basis) versus private-sector accrual accounting, affecting analysis of government balance sheets and unfunded liabilities. Examples illustrate risks from external debt and the consequences of rollover and currency exposures. The chapter also covers the role of supranationals (e.g., World Bank, ADB) that borrow in major currencies and may issue notes tied to local currencies but pay in major currencies; and how quasi-government issuers (airport authorities, mortgage agencies) use dedicated revenue streams with sovereign or partial sovereign backing. Key practical concepts: auction mechanics (competitive versus non-competitive bids, cut-off yield), on-the-run vs off-the-run liquidity, the reasoning for issuing benchmark bonds across maturities, and the difference between domestic and external sovereign debt and the attendant currency and rollover risks.

Key Points

  • Sovereign issuers have taxing authority and usually the lowest default risk in domestic currency.
  • Sovereign debt includes T-bills, notes, bonds, inflation-linked and foreign-currency issues.
  • Debt management balances borrowing cost versus rollover and interest-rate risk.
  • Auctions (single-price vs multiple-price) and primary dealers structure sovereign issuance.
  • On-the-run securities serve as benchmarks and are more liquid than off-the-run issues.
Non-sovereign, Agencies, and Supranationals5 min
This chapter examines public sector fixed-income issuance and markets. Sovereign issuers are distinguished by their legal right to tax and generally represent the lowest default risk for domestic-currency securities. Sovereign debt instruments include short-term Treasury bills (discount instruments), medium- and long-term notes and bonds (fixed, floating, inflation-linked, or foreign-currency), and government-backed securities. Sovereign debt management choices address both the level of debt (fiscal policy) and the composition of debt across maturities (debt management), balancing cost and rollover risk. The Ricardian equivalence concept suggests theoretical indifference to maturity choice under strict assumptions but, in practice, governments diversify maturities to reduce rollover and interest-rate risk. Developed-market sovereigns typically issue highly liquid benchmark securities across maturities; emerging-market sovereigns may issue domestic-currency debt (often held locally) and external debt in foreign currencies, creating direct currency and repayment risks for foreign investors. Non-sovereign and sub-sovereign issuers include provinces, municipalities, and local authorities; they issue general obligation bonds (backed by local tax revenues) and revenue bonds (repaid from project-specific user fees). Government agencies (quasi-government entities) and supranational organizations issue debt to finance designated projects or to provide development financing; they often have high credit quality derived from sovereign support but typically do not capture the full sovereign liquidity premium. Sovereign debt issuance commonly proceeds via scheduled public auctions managed by a treasury or finance ministry; primary dealers are designated intermediaries required to participate in auctions and to support market liquidity. Auction formats include single-price (uniform-price) and multiple-price auctions, with single-price auctions often reducing yield volatility and encouraging broader distribution. Once issued, government securities trade mainly in OTC markets via broker/dealers (some markets use exchanges). On-the-run securities (most recently issued) are the most liquid and serve as benchmarks; off-the-run are older and less liquid. Government securities are widely used as collateral in repo and derivatives markets and as central-bank operational tools. The chapter highlights differences in public-sector accounting (often cash-basis) versus private-sector accrual accounting, affecting analysis of government balance sheets and unfunded liabilities. Examples illustrate risks from external debt and the consequences of rollover and currency exposures. The chapter also covers the role of supranationals (e.g., World Bank, ADB) that borrow in major currencies and may issue notes tied to local currencies but pay in major currencies; and how quasi-government issuers (airport authorities, mortgage agencies) use dedicated revenue streams with sovereign or partial sovereign backing. Key practical concepts: auction mechanics (competitive versus non-competitive bids, cut-off yield), on-the-run vs off-the-run liquidity, the reasoning for issuing benchmark bonds across maturities, and the difference between domestic and external sovereign debt and the attendant currency and rollover risks.

Key Points

  • General obligation bonds (GO) are repaid from local taxes; revenue bonds are repaid from project revenues.
  • Agencies borrow against project cash flows; they receive partial liquidity and yield benefits but not the full sovereign premium.
  • Supranationals combine member-state support and issue in major currencies, often enjoying very strong credit standing.
  • Currency denomination matters: external debt in foreign currency adds repayment and FX risk for the sovereign.
Issuance, Auctions, and Market Structure5 min
This chapter examines public sector fixed-income issuance and markets. Sovereign issuers are distinguished by their legal right to tax and generally represent the lowest default risk for domestic-currency securities. Sovereign debt instruments include short-term Treasury bills (discount instruments), medium- and long-term notes and bonds (fixed, floating, inflation-linked, or foreign-currency), and government-backed securities. Sovereign debt management choices address both the level of debt (fiscal policy) and the composition of debt across maturities (debt management), balancing cost and rollover risk. The Ricardian equivalence concept suggests theoretical indifference to maturity choice under strict assumptions but, in practice, governments diversify maturities to reduce rollover and interest-rate risk. Developed-market sovereigns typically issue highly liquid benchmark securities across maturities; emerging-market sovereigns may issue domestic-currency debt (often held locally) and external debt in foreign currencies, creating direct currency and repayment risks for foreign investors. Non-sovereign and sub-sovereign issuers include provinces, municipalities, and local authorities; they issue general obligation bonds (backed by local tax revenues) and revenue bonds (repaid from project-specific user fees). Government agencies (quasi-government entities) and supranational organizations issue debt to finance designated projects or to provide development financing; they often have high credit quality derived from sovereign support but typically do not capture the full sovereign liquidity premium. Sovereign debt issuance commonly proceeds via scheduled public auctions managed by a treasury or finance ministry; primary dealers are designated intermediaries required to participate in auctions and to support market liquidity. Auction formats include single-price (uniform-price) and multiple-price auctions, with single-price auctions often reducing yield volatility and encouraging broader distribution. Once issued, government securities trade mainly in OTC markets via broker/dealers (some markets use exchanges). On-the-run securities (most recently issued) are the most liquid and serve as benchmarks; off-the-run are older and less liquid. Government securities are widely used as collateral in repo and derivatives markets and as central-bank operational tools. The chapter highlights differences in public-sector accounting (often cash-basis) versus private-sector accrual accounting, affecting analysis of government balance sheets and unfunded liabilities. Examples illustrate risks from external debt and the consequences of rollover and currency exposures. The chapter also covers the role of supranationals (e.g., World Bank, ADB) that borrow in major currencies and may issue notes tied to local currencies but pay in major currencies; and how quasi-government issuers (airport authorities, mortgage agencies) use dedicated revenue streams with sovereign or partial sovereign backing. Key practical concepts: auction mechanics (competitive versus non-competitive bids, cut-off yield), on-the-run vs off-the-run liquidity, the reasoning for issuing benchmark bonds across maturities, and the difference between domestic and external sovereign debt and the attendant currency and rollover risks.

Key Points

  • Auctions accept competitive and non-competitive bids; competitive bids are ranked and a cut-off determines uniform-price results.
  • Primary dealers are obliged to participate and provide market-making and distribution functions.
  • On-the-run issues are the most liquid and serve as valuation benchmarks; auction method choice can affect yield volatility and demand.
  • Trading is primarily OTC; some sovereign markets use exchanges for secondary trading.

Questions

Question 1

Which characteristic most clearly distinguishes a sovereign government issuer from a non-sovereign (local or regional) government issuer?

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Question 2

Which of the following best describes a general obligation (GO) bond issued by a provincial government?

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Question 3

A sovereign treasury announces a new 30-year bond auction. Under a single-price (uniform-price) auction, which statement is true about winning bidders?

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Question 4

Which investor objective primarily explains why on-the-run government securities trade at slightly lower yields than off-the-run securities with similar maturities?

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Question 5

Which of the following best describes external sovereign debt for an emerging-market government?

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Question 6

A sovereign issues short-term Treasury bills (T-bills) with maturities of 3 months, sold at a discount. Which is the most typical use of such short-term sovereign issuance?

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Question 7

Which of the following factors most directly increases the likelihood that an emerging-market sovereign might default on external, foreign-currency debt?

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Question 8

Which statement about government agencies (quasi-government entities) is most accurate?

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Question 9

Why might a sovereign debt manager choose to resume issuance of a 30-year bond after a period of suspension?

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Question 10

Which auction outcome is most likely to produce a narrower distribution of bidders concentrated in large offers?

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Question 11

If a sovereign government has rising near-term funding needs and limited immediate tax receipts, which policy action is the most likely near-term response to avoid rollover risk?

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Question 12

Which of these factors would reduce a sovereign issuer's ability to access long-term domestic-currency capital markets?

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Question 13

Which of the following best explains why governments maintain issuance across a range of maturities rather than relying solely on the shortest-term financing?

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Question 14

Which of the following is true about supranational organizations' borrowing and issuance characteristics?

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Question 15

Which investor would most likely be constrained from holding certain sovereign securities, creating 'non-economic' demand for those bonds?

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Question 16

In a sovereign auction, what is the difference between a competitive and a non-competitive bid?

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Question 17

Which type of government-issued debt is typically sold at a discount and has no periodic coupon payments?

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Question 18

Which of the following best describes an advantage of issuing benchmark government bonds across maturities?

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Question 19

Which of the following best explains why agency debt often trades at yields slightly wider than sovereign debt?

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Question 20

Which of the following best describes the primary dealer role in sovereign issuance?

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Question 21

Which of the following demonstrates why on-the-run government bonds serve as useful benchmarks?

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Question 22

Which of these best explains why a sovereign might guarantee but not issue certain asset-backed securities or mortgage programs?

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Question 23

Which of the following is a reason why a sovereign's domestic-currency bond market might be shallow for long maturities in an emerging market?

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Question 24

Which of the following statements about sovereign auctions and market distribution is correct?

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Question 25

Which of the following is a typical feature of supranational bond issues intended to attract international investors?

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Question 26

Which of the following differences between sovereign and corporate issuance and trading is emphasized in the chapter?

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Question 27

Which best describes a 'fallen angel' in sovereign or corporate bond markets as discussed in the chapter?

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Question 28

Which of the following best explains why sovereigns issue short-term bills even if long-term rates are temporarily lower?

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Question 29

Which of the following is most likely to increase the liquidity premium on a sovereign bond relative to similar bonds?

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Question 30

Which of the following best captures the relationship between fiscal policy and government debt level as described in the chapter?

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Question 31

Which of the following best explains why asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) issuance fell after the Global Financial Crisis?

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Question 32

Which of the following is most likely to be true about a sovereign with a reserve-currency denomination (e.g., USD) in terms of borrowing costs and global demand?

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Question 33

Which statement best describes how sovereign agencies’ debt typically differs from the sovereign’s own debt in secondary-market liquidity and yield?

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Question 34

Which of the following best summarizes why public-sector balance sheets in many countries differ from private-sector GAAP financial statements and how that affects sovereign credit analysis?

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Question 35

A sovereign treasury wants to encourage a broad investor base in its new bond issue. Which auction design is most consistent with that objective?

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Question 36

Which of the following most accurately describes the role of sovereign bonds in repo and derivative markets?

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Question 37

Which of the following best captures why emerging-market sovereign domestic debt may be less attractive to foreign investors than external debt issued in a major currency?

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Question 38

Which of the following factors can cause government auction failures or partially failed auctions, prompting changes in auction methodology?

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Question 39

Which of these best describes why off-the-run sovereign securities typically yield more than on-the-run securities of the same maturity?

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Question 40

If a sovereign's auction announces a cut-off yield of 1.95% and then sets the coupon at 1.875% because yields are rounded down to the nearest 0.125%, what does this tell you about the auction process?

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Question 41

Which of the following best describes a revenue bond issued by a local authority?

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Question 42

Which of the following is a typical feature of supranational bond documentation intended to appeal to international investors?

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Question 43

Which of the following best summarizes the effect of sovereign reserve-holding by foreign central banks on sovereign bond yields?

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Question 44

Which of the following best describes why governments sometimes provide a committed backup line of credit to commercial paper programs?

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Question 45

Which of these is most likely to be considered an advantage for a sovereign that establishes a well-developed long-term government bond market?

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Question 46

Which of the following best explains a reason supranational organizations might issue local-currency notes but set payment amounts in a major currency using a spot rate mechanism?

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Question 47

Which of the following best describes why off-balance-sheet SPE arrangements for ABCP funding were attractive to banks before the Global Financial Crisis?

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Question 48

Which of the following best explains why sovereign debt denominated in a foreign currency poses a particular risk to domestic-currency taxpayers in an emerging market?

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Question 49

Which of the following is true regarding auctions and the treatment of non-competitive bids?

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Question 50

Which of the following best summarizes how supranational and sovereign support affected the issuance prospects of PT Indonesia Infrastructure Finance (IIF) in international markets as described in the chapter?

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