Learning Module 8 Hypothesis Testing
50 questions available
Key Points
- Six-step hypothesis testing framework
- Type I error = alpha; Type II error = beta; power = 1 - beta
- p-value is smallest alpha to reject H0
- One- vs two-sided alternatives must be specified in advance
- Sample size affects power and standard errors
Key Points
- t-tests for means and correlations
- chi-square for single-variance tests
- F-test for comparing variances and regression fit
- Independent vs paired sample decisions change test form
- Worked financial examples demonstrate application
Key Points
- Nonparametric tests for rank/ordinal data or when assumptions fail
- Spearman correlation uses ranks; Wilcoxon and Mann-Whitney alternatives to t-tests
- Chi-square contingency test compares observed vs expected cell frequencies
- Standardized residuals identify influential cells
- Always check data quality, homogeneity, and outliers before testing
Key Points
- t-tests for regression coefficients and F-test for overall fit
- indicator variables let regression test mean differences between groups
- prediction intervals require forecast standard error and t-critical value
- data errors/outliers can materially alter regression outcomes
- interpret tests in financial context (returns, volatilities, forecasts)
Questions
An analyst tests H0: mu = 0.05 versus Ha: mu > 0.05 using a one-sample t-test with n = 25 and obtains t = 1.75. Using a 5 percent significance level, the critical t-value (one-sided) is approximately 1.711. What should the analyst conclude?
View answer and explanationA fund manager wishes to test whether annual returns differ between two independent samples: sample A (n1 = 40, mean = 8.0, sd = 10.0) and sample B (n2 = 50, mean = 5.0, sd = 8.0). Assuming equal population variances, what is the pooled estimate of variance (sp^2)?
View answer and explanationYou want to test whether the variance of monthly returns for a fund is less than 0.04 (i.e., sigma^2 < 0.04). You have n = 20, sample variance s^2 = 0.06. Which test statistic and decision rule are appropriate (left-tailed test) at alpha = 0.05?
View answer and explanationA researcher computes correlation r = 0.35 from n = 32 paired observations. Which test and degrees of freedom should be used to test H0: rho = 0?
View answer and explanationTwo yearly periods produce independent samples of daily returns. Period 1: n1 = 445, mean1 = 0.01775 percent, var1 = 0.09973^2 (use s1^2 = 0.09973). Period 2: n2 = 859, mean2 = 0.01134 percent, var2 = 0.15023^2 (use s2^2 = 0.15023). Assuming equal variances, what is the pooled variance sp^2 used for the two-sample t-test?
View answer and explanationAn analyst runs a chi-square test for independence on a 3x3 contingency table with r = 3 rows and c = 3 columns. What are the degrees of freedom for the chi-square test?
View answer and explanationYou observe a sample correlation r = 0.3102 from n = 36 observations. Using a two-sided 5 percent test (critical t ≈ ±2.032 for df = 34), the calculated t-statistic is 1.903. What is the conclusion?
View answer and explanationWhich statement correctly describes the relation between significance level alpha and Type II error beta, all else equal?
View answer and explanationAn analyst has two dependent samples (paired): before and after returns for the same assets. Which test is most appropriate to test for a mean difference?
View answer and explanationYou run a two-sided test of H0: mu = mu0 using t-statistic and get p-value = 0.032. Which of the following is correct at alpha = 0.05?
View answer and explanationA two-sample F-test compares variances s1^2 and s2^2 from independent normal samples with sizes n1 and n2. If the calculated F = s1^2 / s2^2 = 1.185 and critical values for two-tailed 5 percent are 0.82512 and 1.21194, what is the conclusion?
View answer and explanationWhich nonparametric test is the appropriate rank-based alternative to the two-sample independent t-test (comparing medians) when assumptions of normality are violated?
View answer and explanationA manager tests H0: mu <= 5% versus Ha: mu > 5% and selects alpha = 0.05. Which tail(s) contain the rejection region and what is the nature of the test?
View answer and explanationWhich of the following best describes a Type I error in hypothesis testing?
View answer and explanationIn a test of difference between two independent means with unknown and unequal variances, which approach is appropriate?
View answer and explanationAn analyst tests whether the standard deviation of returns is less than 4 percent using n = 24, s = 3.6 percent, sigma0 = 4 percent, alpha = 0.05 (one-sided left test). The chi-square test statistic is (n - 1)s^2 / sigma0^2 = 23*0.1296 / 0.16 = 18.63. The critical chi-square left-tail value is approximately 13.09. How to conclude?
View answer and explanationWhich of the following is TRUE about p-values?
View answer and explanationA contingency table chi-square test yields total chi-square = 32.08 with df = 4 and critical chi-square (0.95, 4) = 9.488. What conclusion about independence of classifications should be drawn at 5 percent?
View answer and explanationWhich test statistic (distribution) is appropriate for testing H0: mu = mu0 when population is approximately normal and sigma is unknown?
View answer and explanationAn analyst uses a dummy (indicator) variable equal to 1 in months with earnings announcements and 0 otherwise, regressing monthly returns on this indicator. The estimated slope on the indicator equals 1.21 with t = 10.44. What does the slope measure?
View answer and explanationWhich of the following best describes the power of a test?
View answer and explanationIn testing H0: sigma1^2 = sigma2^2 for two independent normal populations using sample variances s1^2 and s2^2, an F-statistic is formed as F = s1^2 / s2^2. If n1 = 50, n2 = 50, s1^2 = 4.644, s2^2 = 3.919, what is F and how to interpret at 5 percent two-tailed (critical upper ≈ 1.21194 and lower ≈ 0.82512)?
View answer and explanationWhen should an analyst prefer nonparametric tests over parametric tests?
View answer and explanationWhich test and degrees of freedom apply to test whether regression slope b1 equals zero in a simple linear regression estimated with n observations?
View answer and explanationIf you wish to test whether two categorical variables are independent, which test do you use and what input is required?
View answer and explanationA researcher pools two years of quarterly returns even though strategies changed between years, obtaining a lower Sharpe ratio for the pooled data than for each year separately. What is the likely reason?
View answer and explanationAn analyst computes Spearman rank correlation r_s = 0.6916 using n = 35. For a two-sided test at alpha = 0.05, what test statistic and df are used to test H0: r_s = 0?
View answer and explanationIn a test concerning a single variance using chi-square with df = n - 1, why must the population be normally distributed for the chi-square test to be valid?
View answer and explanationA statistician wants to compare means of two independent samples where observations are strongly non-normal and contain outliers. Which approach is most appropriate?
View answer and explanationIf you observe a calculated F-statistic in regression of 16.01 with df1 = 1 and df2 = 4, and the 5 percent critical F is 7.71, what conclusion can be drawn about the null that the slope equals zero?
View answer and explanationWhich of the following is a correct interpretation of a 95 percent confidence interval for a mean constructed from sample data?
View answer and explanationAn analyst has sample correlation r = -0.1452 with n = 248. The t-statistic using formula t = r sqrt((n-2)/(1-r^2)) is -2.302. Using two-sided 5 percent critical approximately ±1.967, what can the analyst conclude?
View answer and explanationWhich statement best summarizes the distinction between standard deviation and standard error?
View answer and explanationWhich of the following is an appropriate two-sided null and alternative hypothesis concerning a population correlation coefficient rho?
View answer and explanationWhat is the effect of increasing sample size on the sampling distribution of the sample mean according to the central limit theorem?
View answer and explanationWhich test statistic and distribution are appropriate when testing equality of two population means using two independent samples with unknown but equal variances?
View answer and explanationYou fit a linear regression and obtain t-statistic for slope = 4.00 with df = 4. What is the two-sided p-value roughly (note t=4.00 corresponds to small p)?
View answer and explanationWhen estimating a regression slope, which of the following will reduce the standard error of the slope estimate, all else equal?
View answer and explanationWhich of these is the correct formula for the expected frequency Eij in a contingency table under independence?
View answer and explanationA fund returned mean monthly 1.5% with sample sd = 3.6% and n = 24. Test whether mean differs from 1.1% at 5 percent two-sided. Compute t = (1.5 - 1.1) / (3.6 / sqrt(24)) = 0.544. Given critical t ±2.069 (df 23), conclusion?
View answer and explanationWhich of these is TRUE about one-tailed versus two-tailed tests at same alpha level?
View answer and explanationWhich test is appropriate to compare two variances from independent normal samples?
View answer and explanationAn analyst obtains p-value = 0.056 in a two-sided test at alpha = 0.05. Which is correct?
View answer and explanationWhich is the correct test for assessing whether the sample median differs from hypothesized value when no analytical standard error formula available?
View answer and explanationWhich statistic should be used to test H0: sigma^2_before = sigma^2_after for two equal-sized samples each with n = 120 and observed variances s_before^2 = 22.367 and s_after^2 = 15.795 at alpha = 0.05?
View answer and explanationIf residuals from a regression show a clear U-shaped pattern when plotted against X, which regression assumption is most likely violated?
View answer and explanationWhy might an analyst prefer a nonparametric test like Wilcoxon signed-rank over a t-test when analyzing paired data?
View answer and explanationWhen performing a test of equality of two means based on independent samples with unknown but equal variances, the t-statistic denominator uses pooled variance. How is pooled variance estimated?
View answer and explanationA regression of Y on X yields residual standard error se = 3.46 and sum((Xi - Xbar)^2) = 122.64. What is the standard error of slope b_hat1?
View answer and explanationWhich of the following best summarizes when to use Spearman rank correlation instead of Pearson correlation?
View answer and explanation