Suppose spot USD/EUR = 1.1800, domestic US short rate rd = 2.00 percent (annual), euro short rate rf = 1.00 percent (annual), and you want a 90-day forward. Using actual/360 day count and t = 90/360, which currency will trade at a forward premium for the 90-day contract?

Correct answer: The euro will trade at a forward discount (EUR is expected cheaper forward relative to USD) because US interest rates are higher than euro rates making F < S.

Explanation

Compute forward relation: since US rate > euro rate, F < S in USD/EUR convention, implying the euro trades at forward discount; chapter provides the formula and sign interpretation.

Other questions

Question 1

Which market participant category is primarily responsible for providing two-sided price quotes to clients in the interbank FX market?

Question 2

If the EUR/USD spot rate moves from 1.1700 to 1.2000, the euro has done which of the following relative to the US dollar (quote convention USD/EUR)?

Question 3

Given CAD/USD = 1.3000 and USD/EUR = 1.1500, what is the implied CAD/EUR cross-rate?

Question 4

Which of the following formulas represents covered interest parity (CIP) under an f/d quoting convention (f = foreign, d = domestic)?

Question 5

Spot USD/JPY is 110.00. The 90-day annualized USD Libor is 0.50 percent, and the 90-day annualized JPY Libor is 0.05 percent using actual/360. Approximately what is the 90-day forward USD/JPY (use formula F = S*(1+rf*t)/(1+rd*t))? Use t = 90/360 = 0.25.

Question 6

If a currency trades at a forward discount versus another, what does that imply about relative short-term interest rates (all else equal)?

Question 7

A trader quotes EUR/USD = 1.1800 (spot) and 1-year forward at 1.1500. How would you express the 1-year forward in forward points (pips) for a non-yen pair?

Question 8

Which of the following best describes why real exchange rates matter for trade competitiveness?

Question 9

An investor in the UK faces GBP/EUR = 0.9000. If the euro price level increases by 4 percent, UK price level increases by 1 percent, and GBP/EUR spot falls by 2 percent (meaning it takes 2 percent fewer GBP to buy 1 EUR), what is the approximate change in the UK real exchange rate expressed GBP/EUR?

Question 10

Which currency regime gives up independent monetary policy entirely by legally adopting another country's currency as its own?

Question 11

If a country runs a persistent trade deficit, which of the following must be true in the balance of payments identity?

Question 12

A central bank commits by law to exchange domestic currency at a fixed rate for a foreign anchor and fully backs the monetary base with that foreign asset. This arrangement is called:

Question 13

Which FX instrument is constructed by simultaneously executing a spot and a forward transaction and is the largest component of FX turnover?

Question 14

If USD/EUR spot = 1.2000 and USD/EUR 6-month forward = 1.2300, which currency is trading at a forward premium and why?

Question 15

A US investor expects to receive 1,000,000 JPY in 3 months. Spot USD/JPY = 110.00. To hedge currency risk, the investor would:

Question 16

Which quotation convention is used to describe the number of units of price currency that one unit of base currency will buy?

Question 17

A small open economy imposes a per-unit import tariff that raises domestic price of an imported good from P* to Pt. According to the chapter, which two areas represent the deadweight losses in a standard supply-demand diagram?

Question 18

Which city is identified in the chapter as the largest FX trading hub by volume?

Question 19

A dealer quotes AUD/USD = 0.7000 (price currency/base currency). Which currency is the base currency and how many units of price currency buys one unit of base currency?

Question 20

Which of these is an argument made in the chapter for why countries may restrict capital inflows?

Question 21

Which of the following statements about purchasing power parity (PPP) is consistent with chapter 7?

Question 23

Which of the following best describes a managed float (dirty float) regime as discussed in the chapter?

Question 24

An FX quote is JPY/USD = 111.50. A bank quotes a bid/offer of 111.48 - 111.52. From the client's perspective, what will the client pay to buy 1 USD?

Question 25

Which of the following best captures the chapter's discussion of why forward rates should not be interpreted as precise forecasts of future spot rates?

Question 26

What is the practical effect on monetary policy independence when a country credibly fixes its exchange rate and allows full capital mobility, according to chapter 7?

Question 27

Using the chapter's notation, if Sf/d = 0.8500, rd = 2.00% annually, rf = 5.00% annually, and you want the forward for one year, what is Ff/d approximately?

Question 28

Which BIS-triennial-survey fact is cited in chapter 7 about the composition of FX turnover by product?

Question 29

If USD/CHF spot = 0.9900 and expected one-year USD/CHF spot is 0.9866 (lower), what does chapter 7 say this implies about the dollar's expected movement vs the franc?

Question 30

Which of the following best matches the chapter's description of a 'target zone' exchange arrangement?

Question 31

Triangular arbitrage exists when:

Question 32

Which of the following is a potential long-term cost of capital controls noted in the chapter?

Question 33

You observe AUD/USD opened at 0.7400 and closes at 0.7720 the same day. Using USD price currency per AUD convention, approximately what is the intraday percentage change in the Australian dollar relative to the US dollar?

Question 34

Which of the following best summarizes the chapter's guidance on central bank FX intervention in supposedly floating regimes?

Question 35

Which counterparty category accounted for the largest share of FX flows between banks and clients in the BIS data cited in the chapter?

Question 36

You have spot EUR/GBP = 0.8600 and GBP/USD = 1.3200. What is the implied EUR/USD cross-rate?

Question 37

Which of the following most accurately reflects why forward points increase with maturity, all else equal?

Question 38

A country pegs its currency to the US dollar but has very shallow FX reserves. According to chapter 7, what risk does this pose?

Question 39

What is the main reason the chapter gives for why FX forward quotes are typically expressed in points rather than decimals for client readability?

Question 40

Which of these statements about currency boards is consistent with the chapter?

Question 41

A trader calculates a 6-month forward by taking spot 1.3000 and adding forward points +0.0026. How should the trader express the 6-month forward in standard non-yen decimal terms and in pip points?

Question 42

Which of the following best captures why FX markets are important to purely domestic investors, according to the chapter?

Question 43

If a bank quotes CAD/USD = 1.2500 and USD/EUR = 1.1800, what is the implied CAD/EUR? (Show the operation in your head.)

Question 44

According to chapter 7, which currency pair among the following was one of the top five most-traded pairs by share in the BIS survey?

Question 45

Which of the following capital control measures was described in chapter 7 as used historically (and notably by Malaysia in 1998)?

Question 46

When quoting a non-yen currency pair to four decimal places, an FX dealer posts spot 1.3456 and three-month forward points +75. How should the three-month forward rate be reported in decimals?

Question 47

If investors expect a currency to depreciate, chapter 7 suggests what immediate capital flow reaction is most likely?

Question 48

Which of these best describes the chapter's explanation for why the yen is typically quoted to two decimal places while other major currencies use four decimals?

Question 49

A nation wants to regain monetary independence after a period of high capital inflows that boosted its currency value. According to chapter 7, which policy move could help achieve this objective?

Question 50

Which of the following is NOT listed in chapter 7 as a typical use of the FX market by participants?