Using the risk-neutral probability (pi), what is the formula for the expected value of the option at expiration?

Correct answer: pi * Cu + (1 - pi) * Cd

Explanation

The expected value is the probability-weighted sum of all possible outcomes.

Other questions

Question 1

What is the primary assumption regarding asset price movements in a one-period binomial model?

Question 2

In the context of the binomial model provided, how is the downtick factor (d) typically related to the uptick factor (u)?

Question 3

Which formula correctly represents the risk-neutral probability of an upward movement?

Question 4

If the risk-free rate is 5 percent, the up factor (u) is 1.2, and the down factor (d) is 0.9, what is the risk-neutral probability of an up move?

Question 5

What defines a 'risk-neutral' investor?

Question 6

How is the hedge ratio (h) calculated in the one-period binomial model?

Question 7

In the provided example, if the Call value up (Cu) is 45 and Call value down (Cd) is 0, while Stock up (Su) is 125 and Stock down (Sd) is 80, what is the hedge ratio?

Question 8

Why is the risk-neutral probability used in valuation even if investors are risk-averse?

Question 9

What is the value of a call option at the 'up' node if the stock price is 110 and the strike price is 100?

Question 10

When are the prices of European and American call options on the same asset typically equal?

Question 11

Under what scenario is early exercise of an American Put option potentially useful?

Question 12

If Stock Price (S) = 50 and Strike Price (X) = 45, what is the intrinsic value of the Call Option?

Question 13

Calculate the stock price at the 'up' node if the current price is 200 and the up factor is 1.1.

Question 14

If the risk-free rate is 10 percent, what is the discount factor used to value the option in a one-period model?

Question 15

Which investor type would select an investment with a lower expected return if it offered significantly less risk?

Question 16

What is the lower bound of a European call option's value?

Question 17

In the binomial model example provided, what does the term 'U - D' represent in the probability formula?

Question 18

If a stock is currently 100, u is 1.25, and d is 0.8, what is the stock price in the 'down' state?

Question 20

Calculate the hedge ratio if the option payoffs are 10 (up) and 0 (down), and stock prices are 110 (up) and 90 (down).

Question 21

What does a hedge ratio of 1 imply?

Question 22

If the risk-free rate increases, what happens to the risk-neutral probability of an up move (holding u and d constant)?

Question 23

Which option allows exercise on specific dates, such as once a month?

Question 24

In the example, the calculation 45 * 66.67 percent / (1 + 0.1) yields approximately what value?

Question 25

If a stock pays a significant dividend, which option might be exercised early?

Question 26

In the binomial tree, what is the 'Cd' term if the strike is 80 and the down stock price is 80?

Question 27

What does a risk-neutral probability of 66.67 percent represent in the provided example?

Question 28

If u = 1.25, what implies that d = 0.8?

Question 29

What is the value of a derivative today in the binomial model?

Question 30

Calculate the risk-neutral probability if RFR is 2 percent, u is 1.1, and d is 0.95.

Question 31

Which investor type is indifferent between receiving $50 for certain or a lottery with an expected value of $50?

Question 32

In the binomial model, what role does the clearinghouse play?

Question 33

What is the intrinsic value of a Put option at expiration if Strike (X) = 50 and Stock (S) = 40?

Question 34

If a call option hedge ratio is 0.6, what does this mean for a portfolio manager?

Question 35

Can the risk-neutral probability be greater than 1?

Question 36

If u = 1.1 and d = 0.9, what is the risk-neutral probability if RFR = 0 percent?

Question 37

Why is 'AO = EO' (American Option = European Option) for non-dividend paying calls?

Question 38

What variable is NOT required to calculate the risk-neutral probability in the one-period model?

Question 39

If the stock price is 100, Strike is 100, u is 1.25, and d is 0.8, what is the Call option payoff in the 'down' state?

Question 40

What is the expected stock price at expiration in the risk-neutral world?

Question 41

How does the binomial model account for volatility?

Question 42

In a one-period binomial model, if the Hedge Ratio is 0.5 and the stock rises by $2, how much does the option value change?

Question 43

What happens to the value of a call option if the volatility (spread between u and d) increases?

Question 44

If calculating the value of a Put option using the binomial model, what changes in the calculation compared to a Call?

Question 45

What is the key advantage of the binomial model over simple historical average pricing?

Question 46

If a risk-seeking investor values the option, how would their personal valuation compare to the risk-neutral valuation?

Question 47

Which factor effectively sets the 'probabilities' in the binomial pricing formula?

Question 48

If the calculated Call Value Up (Cu) is 10 and Call Value Down (Cd) is 10, what is the Hedge Ratio?

Question 49

Why might an analyst use a one-period binomial model despite its simplicity?

Question 50

Given: S=100, u=1.2, d=0.9, RFR=5 percent. Calculate the value of a Call with Strike=100.